Demographic Dividend: New Perspective on Economic Consequences Population Change (Population Matters

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  • Is population growth good or bad for economic development? - IGC Blog
  • Demographic Dividend: New Perspective on Economic Consequences Population Change
  • Part 1: Is population growth good or bad for economic development?

    • Is population growth good or bad for economic development? - IGC Blog

    How do I find a book? Can I borrow this item?

    Can I get a copy? Can I view this online? Sharma Canada's population outlook: Members of Aboriginal, Torres Strait Islander and Maori communities are advised that this catalogue contains names and images of deceased people.

    Book , Online - Google Books. David Elliot , Includes bibliographical references p. Indeed, he maintained long run effects were positive [vi]. This view arguably contributed to a major fall in international funding for family planning programs, beginning in the s [viii].

    Demographic Dividend: New Perspective on Economic Consequences Population Change

    In the s researchers made two discoveries that questioned the neutrality of population growth with respect to economic development. First, analyses of the remarkable economic trajectory of East Asian countries in the late 20 th century suggested a sizeable fraction of their impressive economic growth was attributable to high levels of savings and investment facilitated by earlier fertility declines [ix] , [x].

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    Second, new research suggested that there was in fact a negative association between population growth and economic performance. When fertility rates decline over a sustained period of time the proportion of the working age population i. This finding prompted a subsequent reconsideration of the potential importance of reducing fertility in pursuit of growth.

    The second key discovery in the s was the emergence of a negative correlation between population growth and economic growth in further analyses of international cross-sectional data [xi] , [xii]. A recent meta-analysis of this research concluded that a negative relationship emerged in the post data, and that its strength has increased with time [xiv].

    Part 1: Is population growth good or bad for economic development?

    Moreover, as Figure 1 illustrates, the simple cross-sectional relationship between population growth and economic growth is clearly negative when viewed over the long run i. What explains the discrepancy between the early research, which found little evidence of a relationship between population growth and economic growth in cross-sectional data, and more recent work which finds a negative and significant one?

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    We will tackle this question in our next post, which examines the unique economic history of the 20 th century, and how this might help explain why economists seem to keep changing their mind—and why demography is more important than ever in a post global economy. Kuznets, in The Population Debate: Health 35 1 , 39 B58 Digital Id http: Includes bibliographical references p.

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    2. Demographic Dividend: New Perspective on Economic Consequences Population Change by David E. Bloom!
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